Delayed interest rate cuts expected to push back recovery in Apac real estate investments
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Australia and New Zealand continue to see growth in cap rates, while other major market in the Apac region are expected to see a rebound in late 2024 or early 2025. Cap rates in the office sector have seen the most growth, particularly in the two countries and major cities in Beijing, Shanghai and Jakarta. Additionally, hotel and multifamily assets are in high demand, as well as prime assets in core locations. However, investors are remaining cautious due to the delayed cuts in interest rates, leading to a dip in real estate purchasing activity in the region by 14% y-o-y to US$24 billion ($32 billion) last quarter. Japan remains the most active market, accounting for 30% of total regional volume, while Australian office transaction activity remains muted. This has resulted in a softening of office cap rates in the country. Looking ahead, CBRE predicts continued cap rate expansion across most asset classes, with a focus on buying opportunities in the second half of 2024 for prime assets. This will support deal closure as investors aim to take advantage of pricing discounts before rate cuts arrive.